The Triad of India’s Military Technologies and its Implications for Strategic Stability in South Asia

Abstract

This paper explores the strategic implications of India's adoption of advanced military technologies, including Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV), AI-enhanced surveillance systems, and sophisticated missile defense capabilities, on the stability of South Asia. As India integrates these cutting-edge technologies, the regional balance of power may be significantly altered, potentially lowering the nuclear threshold and destabilizing established crisis management mechanisms. The deployment of MIRVs, in particular, introduces a new layer of complexity to atomic deterrence, increasing the risk of miscalculations and inadvertent escalation during crises. Furthermore, the technological advancements could provoke Pakistan into an accelerated arms race, further exacerbating regional tensions. This study highlights the urgent need for comprehensive confidence-building measures (CBMs) between India and Pakistan and broader multilateral efforts to mitigate these emerging risks. The analysis draws on recent developments in India's military capabilities, emphasizing the importance of diplomatic engagement and transparent communication to prevent escalation and preserve regional stability in a rapidly evolving strategic environment.